In season
NBA 2026-27
NBA 2026-27: in season standings and model probabilities. Playoffs favourite: DET 97%. Standings leader: Houston Rockets · 5 wins. Updated 2026-10-31.
- Playoffs favourite
- DET 97%
- Standings leader
- Houston Rockets · 5 wins
| Rank | Team | Group | W | L | PCT | GB | DIFF | L10 | STRK | Playoffs | Top 6 | No. 1 seed | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Rockets | West | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0 | +14.2 | 5-0 | W5 | 96% | 91% | 36% | 19% |
| 2 | Memphis Grizzlies | West | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0 | +12 | 5-0 | W5 | 59% | 39% | 3% | 1% |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | East | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 0 | +6.4 | 4-1 | W1 | 97% | 93% | 36% | 14% |
| 4 | Oklahoma City Thunder | West | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 1 | +3.6 | 4-1 | L1 | 88% | 76% | 13% | 7% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Lakers | West | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 1 | +9.6 | 4-1 | W1 | 86% | 72% | 11% | 7% |
| 6 | Philadelphia 76ers | East | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 0 | +3.4 | 4-1 | W1 | 78% | 60% | 6% | 2% |
| 7 | Toronto Raptors | East | 3 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.5 | +15 | 3-1 | W1 | 89% | 76% | 15% | 5% |
| 8 | Boston Celtics | East | 3 | 1 | 0.750 | 0.5 | +8 | 3-1 | W3 | 93% | 83% | 19% | 7% |
| 9 | Portland Trail Blazers | West | 3 | 1 | 0.750 | 1.5 | +8.8 | 3-1 | L1 | 61% | 40% | 3% | 2% |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | West | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 2 | +6.6 | 3-2 | W3 | 89% | 77% | 14% | 10% |
| 11 | Charlotte Hornets | East | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 1 | -7.2 | 3-2 | L1 | 65% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
| 12 | Cleveland Cavaliers | East | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 1 | +1 | 3-2 | L1 | 76% | 56% | 5% | 2% |
| 13 | Dallas Mavericks | West | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 2 | +2 | 3-2 | W2 | 47% | 27% | 1% | 0.7% |
| 14 | Minnesota Timberwolves | West | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 2 | +12.6 | 3-2 | L2 | 91% | 80% | 16% | 12% |
| 15 | Atlanta Hawks | East | 3 | 3 | 0.500 | 1.5 | +4.7 | 3-3 | W1 | 85% | 69% | 9% | 4% |
| 16 | Denver Nuggets | West | 2 | 2 | 0.500 | 2.5 | -3.2 | 2-2 | W1 | 48% | 28% | 1% | 1% |
| 17 | New York Knicks | East | 2 | 3 | 0.400 | 2 | +0.2 | 2-3 | W2 | 77% | 57% | 5% | 3% |
| 18 | Golden State Warriors | West | 2 | 3 | 0.400 | 3 | -1.8 | 2-3 | W2 | 42% | 22% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 19 | Washington Wizards | East | 2 | 3 | 0.400 | 2 | -2.2 | 2-3 | L2 | 13% | 4% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 20 | Indiana Pacers | East | 2 | 3 | 0.400 | 2 | +0.2 | 2-3 | L2 | 25% | 10% | 0.2% | <0.1% |
| 21 | Phoenix Suns | West | 1 | 2 | 0.333 | 3 | -14.3 | 1-2 | L1 | 32% | 16% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 22 | Orlando Magic | East | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 2.5 | -12.5 | 1-3 | L1 | 36% | 18% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 23 | LA Clippers | West | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 1-3 | L3 | 46% | 26% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| 24 | Miami Heat | East | 1 | 4 | 0.200 | 3 | -7.8 | 1-4 | W1 | 45% | 24% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| 25 | New Orleans Pelicans | West | 1 | 4 | 0.200 | 4 | -2.2 | 1-4 | W1 | 11% | 4% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 26 | Milwaukee Bucks | East | 1 | 4 | 0.200 | 3 | -10.8 | 1-4 | L1 | 7% | 2% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 27 | Utah Jazz | West | 1 | 4 | 0.200 | 4 | -7.8 | 1-4 | L3 | 5% | 1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 28 | Chicago Bulls | East | 1 | 4 | 0.200 | 3 | -16.2 | 1-4 | L3 | 8% | 2% | <0.1% | – |
| 29 | Brooklyn Nets | East | 0 | 4 | 0.000 | 3.5 | -9.8 | 0-4 | L4 | 6% | 2% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| 30 | Sacramento Kings | West | 0 | 5 | 0.000 | 5 | -16.6 | 0-5 | L5 | 0.6% | <0.1% | – | – |
Source and method
Snapshot updated . Source: FixtureDownload. Method: Margin ratings model.
Source notice: 10 past games have no result yet (postponed, or not yet updated at the source); they are simulated as still to play.
Model notes
- Team ratings come from score margins (capped at 25) with home advantage, fitted on this and last season with a 60-day half-life; last season counts 1x as much on top.
- The rest of the regular season is simulated 20,000 times, letting team strength drift (more when more of the season is left), then the playoffs are simulated from each simulated table for title odds.
- Tiebreakers are simplified: win percentage, then division or conference record; head-to-head and common-games rules are not modelled.
- Games not yet on the published schedule are simulated against an average opponent.
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