{
  "metadata": {
    "season": "2026-27",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-31T22:40:56Z",
    "source": "FixtureDownload",
    "source_url": "https://fixturedownload.com/",
    "data_freshness_status": "warning",
    "season_status": "in_progress",
    "warnings": [
      "2 past games have no result yet (postponed, or not yet updated at the source); they are simulated as still to play."
    ]
  },
  "league": {
    "id": "wnbl-2026-27",
    "configId": "wnbl",
    "sport": "basketball",
    "name": "WNBL",
    "shortName": "WNBL",
    "headline": "WNBL Finals & Championship Odds",
    "season": "2026-27",
    "seasonLabel": "2026-27",
    "priority": 36,
    "tiers": [
      {
        "key": "finals",
        "label": "Finals",
        "kind": "playoffs"
      },
      {
        "key": "top3",
        "label": "Top 3",
        "kind": "seed",
        "size": 3
      },
      {
        "key": "top1",
        "label": "Minor premiership",
        "kind": "seed",
        "size": 1,
        "shortLabel": "1st"
      },
      {
        "key": "title",
        "label": "Championship",
        "kind": "champion",
        "shortLabel": "Title"
      }
    ],
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "wins",
        "label": "W"
      },
      {
        "key": "losses",
        "label": "L"
      },
      {
        "key": "pct",
        "label": "PCT",
        "format": "pct",
        "strong": true
      },
      {
        "key": "pointsPercentage",
        "label": "%",
        "title": "Points percentage: points scored over points conceded",
        "optional": true
      },
      {
        "key": "gamesBack",
        "label": "GB",
        "title": "Games behind the leader",
        "format": "decimal",
        "optional": true
      },
      {
        "key": "pointDifferential",
        "label": "DIFF",
        "title": "Average points margin",
        "signed": true,
        "format": "decimal",
        "optional": true
      },
      {
        "key": "lastTen",
        "label": "L10",
        "optional": true
      },
      {
        "key": "streak",
        "label": "STRK",
        "optional": true
      }
    ],
    "outcomes": [
      "home",
      "away"
    ],
    "teams": [
      {
        "key": "Adelaide Lightning",
        "shortName": "ADL",
        "fullName": "Adelaide Lightning",
        "color": "#FDB813",
        "textColor": "#000000"
      },
      {
        "key": "Bendigo Spirit",
        "shortName": "BEN",
        "fullName": "Bendigo Spirit",
        "color": "#00A19A",
        "textColor": "#000000"
      },
      {
        "key": "Geelong Venom",
        "shortName": "GEE",
        "fullName": "Geelong Venom",
        "color": "#5B2D90",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      },
      {
        "key": "Perth Lynx",
        "shortName": "PER",
        "fullName": "Perth Lynx",
        "color": "#E5007E",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      },
      {
        "key": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
        "shortName": "SSF",
        "fullName": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
        "color": "#0033A0",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      },
      {
        "key": "Sydney Flames",
        "shortName": "SYD",
        "fullName": "Sydney Flames",
        "color": "#FF5F00",
        "textColor": "#000000"
      },
      {
        "key": "Tasmania Jewels",
        "shortName": "TAS",
        "fullName": "Tasmania Jewels",
        "color": "#00843D",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      },
      {
        "key": "Townsville Fire",
        "shortName": "TSV",
        "fullName": "Townsville Fire",
        "color": "#B5121B",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      },
      {
        "key": "UC Capitals",
        "shortName": "UCC",
        "fullName": "UC Capitals",
        "color": "#00205B",
        "textColor": "#FFFFFF"
      }
    ],
    "groups": [],
    "cutoffs": [
      {
        "after": 3,
        "label": "Eliminator"
      },
      {
        "after": 5,
        "label": "Out"
      }
    ],
    "rankLabel": "League",
    "positionLabel": "Ladder position",
    "positionZones": [
      {
        "to": 3,
        "kind": "top"
      },
      {
        "to": 5,
        "kind": "mid"
      }
    ]
  },
  "standings": [
    {
      "teamKey": "Sydney Flames",
      "shortName": "SYD",
      "fullName": "Sydney Flames",
      "rank": 1,
      "played": 4,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 0,
      "record": "4-0",
      "pct": 1.0,
      "pointDifferential": 14.0,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 1,
      "divisionRank": 1,
      "form": [
        "W",
        "W",
        "W",
        "W"
      ],
      "lastTen": "4-0",
      "streak": "W4",
      "divisionRecord": "4-0",
      "remaining": 18,
      "gamesBack": 0.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 119.44
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Perth Lynx",
      "shortName": "PER",
      "fullName": "Perth Lynx",
      "rank": 2,
      "played": 2,
      "wins": 2,
      "losses": 0,
      "record": "2-0",
      "pct": 1.0,
      "pointDifferential": 5.5,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 2,
      "divisionRank": 2,
      "form": [
        "W",
        "W"
      ],
      "lastTen": "2-0",
      "streak": "W2",
      "divisionRecord": "2-0",
      "remaining": 20,
      "gamesBack": 1.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 106.67
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Townsville Fire",
      "shortName": "TSV",
      "fullName": "Townsville Fire",
      "rank": 3,
      "played": 4,
      "wins": 2,
      "losses": 2,
      "record": "2-2",
      "pct": 0.5,
      "pointDifferential": 6.2,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 3,
      "divisionRank": 3,
      "form": [
        "W",
        "L",
        "W",
        "L"
      ],
      "lastTen": "2-2",
      "streak": "W1",
      "divisionRecord": "2-2",
      "remaining": 18,
      "gamesBack": 2.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 108.01
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "shortName": "TAS",
      "fullName": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "rank": 4,
      "played": 2,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 1,
      "record": "1-1",
      "pct": 0.5,
      "pointDifferential": -1.5,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 4,
      "divisionRank": 4,
      "form": [
        "L",
        "W"
      ],
      "lastTen": "1-1",
      "streak": "L1",
      "divisionRecord": "1-1",
      "remaining": 20,
      "gamesBack": 2.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 98.34
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Geelong Venom",
      "shortName": "GEE",
      "fullName": "Geelong Venom",
      "rank": 5,
      "played": 2,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 1,
      "record": "1-1",
      "pct": 0.5,
      "pointDifferential": -4.0,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 5,
      "divisionRank": 5,
      "form": [
        "W",
        "L"
      ],
      "lastTen": "1-1",
      "streak": "W1",
      "divisionRecord": "1-1",
      "remaining": 20,
      "gamesBack": 2.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 95.35
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "UC Capitals",
      "shortName": "UCC",
      "fullName": "UC Capitals",
      "rank": 6,
      "played": 2,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 1,
      "record": "1-1",
      "pct": 0.5,
      "pointDifferential": -5.0,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 6,
      "divisionRank": 6,
      "form": [
        "L",
        "W"
      ],
      "lastTen": "1-1",
      "streak": "L1",
      "divisionRecord": "1-1",
      "remaining": 20,
      "gamesBack": 2.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 94.25
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "shortName": "SSF",
      "fullName": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "rank": 7,
      "played": 3,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 2,
      "record": "1-2",
      "pct": 0.333,
      "pointDifferential": 2.3,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 7,
      "divisionRank": 7,
      "form": [
        "L",
        "W",
        "L"
      ],
      "lastTen": "1-2",
      "streak": "L1",
      "divisionRecord": "1-2",
      "remaining": 19,
      "gamesBack": 2.5,
      "pointsPercentage": 103.1
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "shortName": "BEN",
      "fullName": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "rank": 8,
      "played": 2,
      "wins": 0,
      "losses": 2,
      "record": "0-2",
      "pct": 0.0,
      "pointDifferential": -12.5,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 8,
      "divisionRank": 8,
      "form": [
        "L",
        "L"
      ],
      "lastTen": "0-2",
      "streak": "L2",
      "divisionRecord": "0-2",
      "remaining": 20,
      "gamesBack": 3.0,
      "pointsPercentage": 86.49
    },
    {
      "teamKey": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "shortName": "ADL",
      "fullName": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "rank": 9,
      "played": 3,
      "wins": 0,
      "losses": 3,
      "record": "0-3",
      "pct": 0.0,
      "pointDifferential": -17.7,
      "conference": "overall",
      "conferenceLabel": "Ladder",
      "division": "WNBL",
      "seed": 9,
      "divisionRank": 9,
      "form": [
        "L",
        "L",
        "L"
      ],
      "lastTen": "0-3",
      "streak": "L3",
      "divisionRecord": "0-3",
      "remaining": 19,
      "gamesBack": 3.5,
      "pointsPercentage": 80.44
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "id": "62",
      "round": 3,
      "date": "2026-10-31T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "Silverdome",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.395,
        "away": 0.605
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "63",
      "round": 3,
      "date": "2026-10-31T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.568,
        "away": 0.432
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "64",
      "round": 3,
      "date": "2026-11-01T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "VIC State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.743,
        "away": 0.257
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "65",
      "round": 3,
      "date": "2026-11-02T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "Selkirk Stadium, Ballarat",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.577,
        "away": 0.423
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "66",
      "round": 3,
      "date": "2026-11-03T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.581,
        "away": 0.419
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "67",
      "round": 4,
      "date": "2026-11-05T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.312,
        "away": 0.688
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "68",
      "round": 4,
      "date": "2026-11-07T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.421,
        "away": 0.579
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "69",
      "round": 4,
      "date": "2026-11-07T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.59,
        "away": 0.41
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "70",
      "round": 4,
      "date": "2026-11-08T01:30:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Afterpay Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.642,
        "away": 0.358
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "71",
      "round": 4,
      "date": "2026-11-10T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.74,
        "away": 0.26
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "72",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-12T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Silverdome",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.484,
        "away": 0.516
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "73",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-13T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.336,
        "away": 0.664
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "74",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-14T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.396,
        "away": 0.604
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "75",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-15T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "VIC State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.423,
        "away": 0.577
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "76",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-15T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.3,
        "away": 0.7
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "77",
      "round": 5,
      "date": "2026-11-17T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.441,
        "away": 0.559
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "78",
      "round": 6,
      "date": "2026-11-21T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.464,
        "away": 0.536
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "79",
      "round": 6,
      "date": "2026-11-21T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.273,
        "away": 0.727
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "80",
      "round": 6,
      "date": "2026-11-22T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.521,
        "away": 0.479
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "81",
      "round": 6,
      "date": "2026-11-22T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.762,
        "away": 0.238
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "82",
      "round": 6,
      "date": "2026-11-24T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.768,
        "away": 0.232
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "83",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-26T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.556,
        "away": 0.444
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "84",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-27T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.542,
        "away": 0.458
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "85",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-28T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "Quaycentre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.486,
        "away": 0.514
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "86",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-28T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.838,
        "away": 0.162
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "87",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-29T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "State Sport Centres, Parkville",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.623,
        "away": 0.377
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "88",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-11-29T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "MyState Bank Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.588,
        "away": 0.412
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "89",
      "round": 7,
      "date": "2026-12-01T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.312,
        "away": 0.688
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "90",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-03T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.353,
        "away": 0.647
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "91",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-04T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.52,
        "away": 0.48
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "92",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-04T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.596,
        "away": 0.404
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "93",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-05T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.854,
        "away": 0.146
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "94",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-06T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "VIC State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.656,
        "away": 0.344
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "95",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-06T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.534,
        "away": 0.466
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "96",
      "round": 8,
      "date": "2026-12-08T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.356,
        "away": 0.644
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "97",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-11T06:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.652,
        "away": 0.348
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "98",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-11T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.704,
        "away": 0.296
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "99",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-12T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.577,
        "away": 0.423
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "1",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-13T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "Quaycentre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.486,
        "away": 0.514
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-13T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.742,
        "away": 0.258
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "3",
      "round": 9,
      "date": "2026-12-15T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.363,
        "away": 0.637
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "4",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-17T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.681,
        "away": 0.319
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "5",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-18T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.396,
        "away": 0.604
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "6",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-19T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.664,
        "away": 0.336
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "7",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-19T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Silverdome",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.588,
        "away": 0.412
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "8",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-20T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Quaycentre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.513,
        "away": 0.487
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "9",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-21T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "TBC",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.643,
        "away": 0.357
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "10",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-22T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.42,
        "away": 0.58
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "11",
      "round": 10,
      "date": "2026-12-23T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.763,
        "away": 0.237
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "12",
      "round": 11,
      "date": "2026-12-27T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "MyState Bank Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.554,
        "away": 0.446
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "13",
      "round": 11,
      "date": "2026-12-27T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.454,
        "away": 0.546
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "14",
      "round": 11,
      "date": "2026-12-29T06:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Afterpay Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.706,
        "away": 0.294
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "15",
      "round": 11,
      "date": "2026-12-29T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "VIC State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.397,
        "away": 0.603
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "16",
      "round": 11,
      "date": "2026-12-30T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.758,
        "away": 0.242
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "17",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2026-12-31T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.762,
        "away": 0.238
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "18",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2027-01-02T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Silverdome",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.355,
        "away": 0.645
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "19",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2027-01-02T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.533,
        "away": 0.467
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "20",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2027-01-03T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.45,
        "away": 0.55
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "21",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2027-01-03T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.273,
        "away": 0.727
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "22",
      "round": 12,
      "date": "2027-01-05T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.778,
        "away": 0.222
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "23",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-07T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "MyState Bank Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.683,
        "away": 0.317
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "24",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-08T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.375,
        "away": 0.625
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "25",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-08T10:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.768,
        "away": 0.232
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "26",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-09T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Silverdome",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.484,
        "away": 0.516
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "27",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-10T03:30:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "Afterpay Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.705,
        "away": 0.295
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "28",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-10T05:30:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.219,
        "away": 0.781
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "29",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-11T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "State Sport Centres, Parkville",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.423,
        "away": 0.577
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "30",
      "round": 13,
      "date": "2027-01-12T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.542,
        "away": 0.458
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "31",
      "round": 14,
      "date": "2027-01-13T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "RAC Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.528,
        "away": 0.472
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "32",
      "round": 14,
      "date": "2027-01-14T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "RAC Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.465,
        "away": 0.535
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "33",
      "round": 14,
      "date": "2027-01-15T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "RAC Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.652,
        "away": 0.348
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "34",
      "round": 14,
      "date": "2027-01-16T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "RAC Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.534,
        "away": 0.466
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "35",
      "round": 14,
      "date": "2027-01-17T03:30:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "venue": "RAC Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.74,
        "away": 0.26
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "36",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-21T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "venue": "MyState Bank Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.33,
        "away": 0.67
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "37",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-22T06:30:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "Red Energy Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.684,
        "away": 0.316
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "38",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-22T08:30:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "Microkeeper Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.336,
        "away": 0.664
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "39",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-23T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Quaycentre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.735,
        "away": 0.265
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "40",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-23T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.704,
        "away": 0.296
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "41",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-24T05:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "Perth High Performance Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.838,
        "away": 0.162
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "42",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-25T06:30:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "venue": "Selkirk Stadium, Ballarat",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.486,
        "away": 0.514
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "43",
      "round": 15,
      "date": "2027-01-25T08:30:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "venue": "MyState Bank Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.395,
        "away": 0.605
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "44",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-28T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "SA State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.421,
        "away": 0.579
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "45",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-29T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "venue": "AIS Arena",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.324,
        "away": 0.676
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "46",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-30T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "venue": "Quaycentre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.724,
        "away": 0.276
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "47",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-30T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "venue": "VIC State Basketball Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.743,
        "away": 0.257
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "48",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-31T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "venue": "Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.556,
        "away": 0.444
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "49",
      "round": 16,
      "date": "2027-01-31T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "venue": "Townsville Entertainment & Convention Centre",
      "probabilities": {
        "home": 0.788,
        "away": 0.212
      }
    }
  ],
  "results": [
    {
      "id": "61",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-27T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "homeScore": 68,
      "awayScore": 91
    },
    {
      "id": "60",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-25T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "homeScore": 77,
      "awayScore": 90
    },
    {
      "id": "59",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-24T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "homeScore": 82,
      "awayScore": 90
    },
    {
      "id": "58",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-24T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "homeScore": 74,
      "awayScore": 69
    },
    {
      "id": "57",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-23T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "homeScore": 82,
      "awayScore": 70
    },
    {
      "id": "56",
      "round": 2,
      "date": "2026-10-22T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "homeScore": 91,
      "awayScore": 75
    },
    {
      "id": "55",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-20T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "homeScore": 68,
      "awayScore": 86
    },
    {
      "id": "54",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-18T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Sydney Flames",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "homeScore": 95,
      "awayScore": 68
    },
    {
      "id": "53",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-17T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Perth Lynx",
      "away": "Townsville Fire",
      "homeScore": 86,
      "awayScore": 83
    },
    {
      "id": "52",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-17T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "UC Capitals",
      "away": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "homeScore": 94,
      "awayScore": 92
    },
    {
      "id": "51",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-16T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "homeScore": 73,
      "awayScore": 77
    },
    {
      "id": "50",
      "round": 1,
      "date": "2026-10-15T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "homeScore": 103,
      "awayScore": 90
    }
  ],
  "analysis": {
    "method": "Monte Carlo",
    "simulations": 20000,
    "model": "Margin ratings model",
    "modelNotes": [
      "Team ratings come from score margins (capped at 35) with home advantage, fitted on this and last season with a 90-day half-life; last season counts 1x as much on top.",
      "The rest of the regular season is simulated 20,000 times, letting team strength drift (more when more of the season is left), then the playoffs are simulated from each simulated table for title odds.",
      "The table breaks ties on win percentage with the league's rules: points percentage (points scored over points conceded). Simulated seasons break ties at random.",
      "Finals results have no free data source, so once the regular season ends the page shows the final ladder without title odds."
    ],
    "probabilities": {
      "Adelaide Lightning": {
        "finals": 17.29,
        "top3": 5.27,
        "top1": 0.62,
        "title": 1.53
      },
      "Bendigo Spirit": {
        "finals": 37.31,
        "top3": 16.1,
        "top1": 2.92,
        "title": 4.96
      },
      "Geelong Venom": {
        "finals": 43.45,
        "top3": 20.36,
        "top1": 4.23,
        "title": 5.1
      },
      "Perth Lynx": {
        "finals": 85.95,
        "top3": 65.98,
        "top1": 30.28,
        "title": 23.71
      },
      "Southside Melbourne Flyers": {
        "finals": 53.78,
        "top3": 25.92,
        "top1": 5.75,
        "title": 8.91
      },
      "Sydney Flames": {
        "finals": 86.92,
        "top3": 65.33,
        "top1": 28.0,
        "title": 19.38
      },
      "Tasmania Jewels": {
        "finals": 49.72,
        "top3": 24.07,
        "top1": 5.75,
        "title": 6.29
      },
      "Townsville Fire": {
        "finals": 82.72,
        "top3": 57.66,
        "top1": 18.49,
        "title": 25.64
      },
      "UC Capitals": {
        "finals": 42.86,
        "top3": 19.3,
        "top1": 3.96,
        "title": 4.5
      }
    },
    "positions": {
      "Adelaide Lightning": [
        0.62,
        1.62,
        3.03,
        5.0,
        7.02,
        10.05,
        14.4,
        20.89,
        37.37
      ],
      "Bendigo Spirit": [
        2.92,
        5.41,
        7.77,
        9.68,
        11.54,
        13.9,
        15.65,
        17.21,
        15.93
      ],
      "Geelong Venom": [
        4.23,
        6.8,
        9.32,
        10.6,
        12.49,
        14.03,
        14.84,
        15.54,
        12.14
      ],
      "Perth Lynx": [
        30.28,
        20.7,
        15.0,
        11.2,
        8.77,
        6.0,
        4.15,
        2.76,
        1.14
      ],
      "Southside Melbourne Flyers": [
        5.76,
        9.08,
        11.09,
        13.48,
        14.37,
        14.14,
        13.07,
        11.22,
        7.79
      ],
      "Sydney Flames": [
        28.0,
        20.86,
        16.47,
        12.5,
        9.1,
        6.22,
        3.94,
        2.16,
        0.75
      ],
      "Tasmania Jewels": [
        5.76,
        8.26,
        10.05,
        12.0,
        13.64,
        13.44,
        13.56,
        12.68,
        10.58
      ],
      "Townsville Fire": [
        18.49,
        20.94,
        18.24,
        14.54,
        10.51,
        7.9,
        5.0,
        2.98,
        1.4
      ],
      "UC Capitals": [
        3.96,
        6.32,
        9.02,
        11.0,
        12.56,
        14.31,
        15.38,
        14.56,
        12.9
      ]
    },
    "expected": {
      "Adelaide Lightning": {
        "wins": 6.6,
        "seed": 7.3
      },
      "Bendigo Spirit": {
        "wins": 9.0,
        "seed": 6.1
      },
      "Geelong Venom": {
        "wins": 9.7,
        "seed": 5.7
      },
      "Perth Lynx": {
        "wins": 14.8,
        "seed": 3.0
      },
      "Southside Melbourne Flyers": {
        "wins": 10.6,
        "seed": 5.2
      },
      "Sydney Flames": {
        "wins": 14.7,
        "seed": 3.0
      },
      "Tasmania Jewels": {
        "wins": 10.3,
        "seed": 5.4
      },
      "Townsville Fire": {
        "wins": 13.7,
        "seed": 3.4
      },
      "UC Capitals": {
        "wins": 9.7,
        "seed": 5.8
      }
    },
    "ratings": {
      "Adelaide Lightning": -8.48,
      "Bendigo Spirit": -2.34,
      "Geelong Venom": -3.33,
      "Perth Lynx": 6.78,
      "Southside Melbourne Flyers": 0.8,
      "Sydney Flames": 4.89,
      "Tasmania Jewels": -2.39,
      "Townsville Fire": 7.99,
      "UC Capitals": -3.93
    },
    "homeAdvantage": 2.49,
    "sigma": 18.0,
    "gamesPerTeam": 22
  },
  "matchesThatMatter": [
    {
      "fixtureId": "64",
      "date": "2026-11-01T02:00:00Z",
      "home": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "away": "Adelaide Lightning",
      "tier": "finals",
      "tierLabel": "Finals",
      "team": "Southside Melbourne Flyers",
      "swing": 34.3,
      "ifHome": 64.3,
      "ifAway": 30.0
    },
    {
      "fixtureId": "63",
      "date": "2026-10-31T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Geelong Venom",
      "away": "UC Capitals",
      "tier": "finals",
      "tierLabel": "Finals",
      "team": "Geelong Venom",
      "swing": 34.0,
      "ifHome": 58.6,
      "ifAway": 24.6
    },
    {
      "fixtureId": "66",
      "date": "2026-11-03T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Townsville Fire",
      "away": "Perth Lynx",
      "tier": "top3",
      "tierLabel": "Top 3",
      "team": "Townsville Fire",
      "swing": 33.9,
      "ifHome": 72.5,
      "ifAway": 38.6
    },
    {
      "fixtureId": "65",
      "date": "2026-11-02T08:00:00Z",
      "home": "Bendigo Spirit",
      "away": "Geelong Venom",
      "tier": "finals",
      "tierLabel": "Finals",
      "team": "Geelong Venom",
      "swing": 33.3,
      "ifHome": 28.8,
      "ifAway": 62.1
    },
    {
      "fixtureId": "62",
      "date": "2026-10-31T04:00:00Z",
      "home": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "away": "Sydney Flames",
      "tier": "finals",
      "tierLabel": "Finals",
      "team": "Tasmania Jewels",
      "swing": 32.8,
      "ifHome": 69.0,
      "ifAway": 36.2
    }
  ],
  "movement": {
    "since": "2026-10-27T23:02:48Z",
    "changes": {
      "Adelaide Lightning": {
        "finals": 1.89,
        "top3": 0.66,
        "top1": 0.12,
        "title": 0.17
      },
      "Bendigo Spirit": {
        "finals": -21.98,
        "top3": -18.45,
        "top1": -7.53,
        "title": -7.45
      },
      "Geelong Venom": {
        "finals": 1.02,
        "top3": 0.02,
        "top1": -0.61,
        "title": -0.14
      },
      "Perth Lynx": {
        "finals": 2.33,
        "top3": 2.67,
        "top1": 0.98,
        "title": 0.03
      },
      "Southside Melbourne Flyers": {
        "finals": 1.48,
        "top3": 0.06,
        "top1": -0.1,
        "title": 0.16
      },
      "Sydney Flames": {
        "finals": 2.07,
        "top3": 2.12,
        "top1": 1.32,
        "title": 0.83
      },
      "Tasmania Jewels": {
        "finals": 2.68,
        "top3": 0.71,
        "top1": -0.11,
        "title": -0.28
      },
      "Townsville Fire": {
        "finals": 13.66,
        "top3": 15.42,
        "top1": 7.01,
        "title": 7.89
      },
      "UC Capitals": {
        "finals": -3.15,
        "top3": -3.2,
        "top1": -1.09,
        "title": -1.19
      }
    }
  }
}