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31, "awayScore": 34 }, { "id": "80", "round": 6, "date": "2026-10-16T00:15:00Z", "home": "Denver Broncos", "away": "Seattle Seahawks", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 14 }, { "id": "79", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-13T00:15:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Rams", "away": "Buffalo Bills", "homeScore": 34, "awayScore": 37 }, { "id": "78", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-12T00:20:00Z", "home": "Atlanta Falcons", "away": "Baltimore Ravens", "homeScore": 23, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "77", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T20:25:00Z", "home": "Seattle Seahawks", "away": "San Francisco 49ers", "homeScore": 29, "awayScore": 32 }, { "id": "75", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T20:25:00Z", "home": "Arizona Cardinals", "away": "Detroit Lions", "homeScore": 21, "awayScore": 45 }, { "id": "74", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T20:05:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Chargers", "away": "Denver Broncos", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "76", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "Green Bay Packers", "away": "Chicago Bears", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 7 }, { "id": "73", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "Washington Commanders", "away": "New York Giants", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 27 }, { "id": "72", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "Tennessee Titans", "away": "Houston Texans", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 26 }, { "id": "71", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "away": "Indianapolis Colts", "homeScore": 34, "awayScore": 22 }, { "id": "70", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "New York Jets", "away": "Cleveland Browns", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 12 }, { "id": "69", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "New Orleans Saints", "away": "Minnesota Vikings", "homeScore": 13, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "68", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "New England Patriots", "away": "Las Vegas Raiders", "homeScore": 45, "awayScore": 17 }, { "id": "67", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "home": "Miami Dolphins", "away": "Cincinnati Bengals", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 31 }, { "id": "66", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-11T13:30:00Z", "home": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "away": "Philadelphia Eagles", "homeScore": 19, "awayScore": 17 }, { "id": "65", "round": 5, "date": "2026-10-09T00:15:00Z", "home": "Dallas Cowboys", "away": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "homeScore": 16, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "64", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-06T00:15:00Z", "home": "New Orleans Saints", "away": "Atlanta Falcons", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 45 }, { "id": "63", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-05T00:20:00Z", "home": "Carolina Panthers", "away": "Detroit Lions", "homeScore": 32, "awayScore": 26 }, { "id": "62", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T20:25:00Z", "home": "San Francisco 49ers", "away": "Denver Broncos", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 14 }, { "id": "61", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T20:25:00Z", "home": "Seattle Seahawks", "away": "Los Angeles Chargers", "homeScore": 30, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "60", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T20:25:00Z", "home": "Las Vegas Raiders", "away": "Kansas City Chiefs", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "59", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T20:05:00Z", "home": "Minnesota Vikings", "away": "Miami Dolphins", "homeScore": 15, "awayScore": 10 }, { "id": "58", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "away": "Green Bay Packers", "homeScore": 14, "awayScore": 17 }, { "id": "57", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Philadelphia Eagles", "away": "Los Angeles Rams", "homeScore": 20, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "56", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "New York Giants", "away": "Arizona Cardinals", "homeScore": 36, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "55", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Houston Texans", "away": "Dallas Cowboys", "homeScore": 30, "awayScore": 34 }, { "id": "54", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Cincinnati Bengals", "away": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 22 }, { "id": "53", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Chicago Bears", "away": "New York Jets", "homeScore": 23, "awayScore": 12 }, { "id": "52", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Buffalo Bills", "away": "New England Patriots", "homeScore": 26, "awayScore": 29 }, { "id": "51", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T17:00:00Z", "home": "Baltimore Ravens", "away": "Tennessee Titans", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 18 }, { "id": "50", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-04T13:30:00Z", "home": "Washington Commanders", "away": "Indianapolis Colts", "homeScore": 13, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "49", "round": 4, "date": "2026-10-02T00:15:00Z", "home": "Cleveland Browns", "away": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "48", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-29T00:15:00Z", "home": "Chicago Bears", "away": "Philadelphia Eagles", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 7 }, { "id": "47", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-28T00:20:00Z", "home": "Denver Broncos", "away": "Los Angeles Rams", "homeScore": 30, "awayScore": 26 }, { "id": "46", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T20:25:00Z", "home": "New Orleans Saints", "away": "Las Vegas Raiders", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 35 }, { "id": "45", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T20:25:00Z", "home": "Dallas Cowboys", "away": "Baltimore Ravens", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 34 }, { "id": "44", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z", "home": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "away": "Minnesota Vikings", "homeScore": 16, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "43", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T20:05:00Z", "home": "San Francisco 49ers", "away": "Arizona Cardinals", "homeScore": 36, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "42", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Washington Commanders", "away": "Seattle Seahawks", "homeScore": 33, "awayScore": 31 }, { "id": "41", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "away": "Cincinnati Bengals", "homeScore": 30, "awayScore": 27 }, { "id": "40", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "New York Giants", "away": "Tennessee Titans", "homeScore": 12, "awayScore": 7 }, { "id": "39", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Miami Dolphins", "away": "Kansas City Chiefs", "homeScore": 10, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "38", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "away": "New England Patriots", "homeScore": 35, "awayScore": 6 }, { "id": "37", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Indianapolis Colts", "away": "Houston Texans", "homeScore": 19, "awayScore": 17 }, { "id": "36", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Detroit Lions", "away": "New York Jets", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "35", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Cleveland Browns", "away": "Carolina Panthers", "homeScore": 21, "awayScore": 18 }, { "id": "34", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-27T17:00:00Z", "home": "Buffalo Bills", "away": "Los Angeles Chargers", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 16 }, { "id": "33", "round": 3, "date": "2026-09-25T00:15:00Z", "home": "Green Bay Packers", "away": "Atlanta Falcons", "homeScore": 14, "awayScore": 35 }, { "id": "32", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-22T00:15:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Rams", "away": "New York Giants", "homeScore": 28, "awayScore": 6 }, { "id": "31", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-21T00:20:00Z", "home": "Kansas City Chiefs", "away": "Indianapolis Colts", "homeScore": 33, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "30", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T20:25:00Z", "home": "San Francisco 49ers", "away": "Miami Dolphins", "homeScore": 35, "awayScore": 13 }, { "id": "29", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T20:25:00Z", "home": "Dallas Cowboys", "away": "Washington Commanders", "homeScore": 37, "awayScore": 20 }, { "id": "28", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T20:25:00Z", "home": "Arizona Cardinals", "away": "Seattle Seahawks", "homeScore": 7, "awayScore": 31 }, { "id": "27", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T20:05:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Chargers", "away": "Las Vegas Raiders", "homeScore": 14, "awayScore": 26 }, { "id": "26", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T20:05:00Z", "home": "Denver Broncos", "away": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "homeScore": 20, "awayScore": 13 }, { "id": "25", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Tennessee Titans", "away": "Philadelphia Eagles", "homeScore": 20, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "24", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "away": "Cleveland Browns", "homeScore": 19, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "23", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "New York Jets", "away": "Green Bay Packers", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 20 }, { "id": "22", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "New England Patriots", "away": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "homeScore": 20, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "21", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Houston Texans", "away": "Cincinnati Bengals", "homeScore": 6, "awayScore": 20 }, { "id": "20", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Chicago Bears", "away": "Minnesota Vikings", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 9 }, { "id": "19", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Baltimore Ravens", "away": "New Orleans Saints", "homeScore": 17, "awayScore": 24 }, { "id": "18", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-20T17:00:00Z", "home": "Atlanta Falcons", "away": "Carolina Panthers", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 34 }, { "id": "17", "round": 2, "date": "2026-09-18T00:15:00Z", "home": "Buffalo Bills", "away": "Detroit Lions", "homeScore": 41, "awayScore": 31 }, { "id": "16", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-15T00:15:00Z", "home": "Kansas City Chiefs", "away": "Denver Broncos", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 10 }, { "id": "15", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-14T00:20:00Z", "home": "New York Giants", "away": "Dallas Cowboys", "homeScore": 28, "awayScore": 20 }, { "id": "14", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "home": "Philadelphia Eagles", "away": "Washington Commanders", "homeScore": 24, "awayScore": 22 }, { "id": "13", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "home": "Minnesota Vikings", "away": "Green Bay Packers", "homeScore": 39, "awayScore": 22 }, { "id": "12", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "home": "Las Vegas Raiders", "away": "Miami Dolphins", "homeScore": 27, "awayScore": 13 }, { "id": "11", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T20:25:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Chargers", "away": "Arizona Cardinals", "homeScore": 14, "awayScore": 26 }, { "id": "9", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "away": "Atlanta Falcons", "homeScore": 20, "awayScore": 13 }, { "id": "8", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "away": "Cleveland Browns", "homeScore": 34, "awayScore": 10 }, { "id": "7", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Indianapolis Colts", "away": "Baltimore Ravens", "homeScore": 23, "awayScore": 41 }, { "id": "6", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Houston Texans", "away": "Buffalo Bills", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 36 }, { "id": "5", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Detroit Lions", "away": "New Orleans Saints", "homeScore": 31, "awayScore": 30 }, { "id": "4", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Cincinnati Bengals", "away": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "homeScore": 33, "awayScore": 27 }, { "id": "3", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Carolina Panthers", "away": "Chicago Bears", "homeScore": 37, "awayScore": 59 }, { "id": "10", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-13T17:00:00Z", "home": "Tennessee Titans", "away": "New York Jets", "homeScore": 10, "awayScore": 23 }, { "id": "2", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-11T00:35:00Z", "home": "Los Angeles Rams", "away": "San Francisco 49ers", "homeScore": 7, "awayScore": 27 }, { "id": "1", "round": 1, "date": "2026-09-10T00:20:00Z", "home": "Seattle Seahawks", "away": "New England Patriots", "homeScore": 13, "awayScore": 10 } ], "analysis": { "method": "Monte Carlo", "simulations": 20000, "model": "Margin ratings model", "modelNotes": [ "Team ratings come from score margins (capped at 21) with home advantage, fitted on this and last season with a 120-day half-life; last season counts 1x as much on top.", "The rest of the regular season is simulated 20,000 times, letting team strength drift (more when more of the season is left), then the playoffs are simulated from each simulated table for title odds.", "Tiebreakers are simplified: win percentage, then division or conference record; head-to-head and common-games rules are not modelled." ], "probabilities": { "Arizona Cardinals": { "playoffs": 1.86, "division": 0.16, "bye": 0.01, "title": 0.07 }, "Atlanta Falcons": { "playoffs": 46.84, "division": 42.1, "bye": 0.78, "title": 2.33 }, "Baltimore Ravens": { "playoffs": 36.49, "division": 8.54, "bye": 1.32, "title": 1.49 }, "Buffalo Bills": { "playoffs": 86.31, "division": 61.38, "bye": 21.86, "title": 6.89 }, "Carolina Panthers": { "playoffs": 23.1, "division": 19.79, "bye": 0.14, "title": 0.81 }, "Chicago Bears": { "playoffs": 71.44, "division": 17.05, "bye": 7.61, "title": 6.28 }, "Cincinnati Bengals": { "playoffs": 78.44, "division": 43.92, "bye": 11.77, "title": 6.51 }, "Cleveland Browns": { "playoffs": 47.42, "division": 17.42, "bye": 2.48, "title": 1.14 }, "Dallas Cowboys": { "playoffs": 35.7, "division": 30.17, "bye": 0.38, "title": 1.24 }, "Denver Broncos": { "playoffs": 75.84, "division": 39.44, "bye": 11.41, "title": 4.62 }, "Detroit Lions": { "playoffs": 56.89, "division": 14.48, "bye": 5.97, "title": 3.49 }, "Green Bay Packers": { "playoffs": 51.62, "division": 6.46, "bye": 1.79, "title": 2.5 }, "Houston Texans": { "playoffs": 23.97, "division": 9.79, "bye": 0.1, "title": 1.49 }, "Indianapolis Colts": { "playoffs": 8.83, "division": 5.15, "bye": 0.01, "title": 0.34 }, "Jacksonville Jaguars": { "playoffs": 90.24, "division": 84.59, "bye": 16.38, "title": 9.76 }, "Kansas City Chiefs": { "playoffs": 84.56, "division": 56.27, "bye": 19.86, "title": 5.47 }, "Las Vegas Raiders": { "playoffs": 15.7, "division": 4.23, "bye": 0.1, "title": 0.43 }, "Los Angeles Chargers": { "playoffs": 0.66, "division": 0.06, "bye": 0.0, "title": 0.03 }, "Los Angeles Rams": { "playoffs": 37.1, "division": 4.74, "bye": 0.86, "title": 2.75 }, "Miami Dolphins": { "playoffs": 1.7, "division": 0.66, "bye": 0.01, "title": 0.06 }, "Minnesota Vikings": { "playoffs": 92.2, "division": 62.01, "bye": 39.59, "title": 9.3 }, "New England Patriots": { "playoffs": 74.86, "division": 36.68, "bye": 7.88, "title": 6.66 }, "New Orleans Saints": { "playoffs": 12.1, "division": 10.34, "bye": 0.03, "title": 0.31 }, "New York Giants": { "playoffs": 59.48, "division": 55.33, "bye": 1.62, "title": 1.46 }, "New York Jets": { "playoffs": 6.21, "division": 1.27, "bye": 0.03, "title": 0.18 }, "Philadelphia Eagles": { "playoffs": 10.12, "division": 8.95, "bye": 0.01, "title": 0.24 }, "Pittsburgh Steelers": { "playoffs": 68.02, "division": 30.11, "bye": 6.79, "title": 3.62 }, "San Francisco 49ers": { "playoffs": 94.14, "division": 72.73, "bye": 34.68, "title": 10.32 }, "Seattle Seahawks": { "playoffs": 69.92, "division": 22.37, "bye": 6.43, "title": 8.62 }, "Tampa Bay Buccaneers": { "playoffs": 30.59, "division": 27.77, "bye": 0.09, "title": 1.44 }, "Tennessee Titans": { "playoffs": 0.74, "division": 0.47, "bye": 0.0, "title": 0.01 }, "Washington Commanders": { "playoffs": 6.89, "division": 5.55, "bye": 0.02, "title": 0.13 } }, "positions": { "Arizona Cardinals": [ 0.0, 0.07, 0.04, 0.04, 0.08, 0.48, 1.15, 2.5, 3.33, 4.6, 6.63, 8.32, 10.97, 14.57, 19.47, 27.76 ], "Atlanta Falcons": [ 0.78, 3.58, 18.36, 19.38, 0.35, 1.2, 3.19, 5.39, 7.32, 8.49, 8.14, 7.27, 6.69, 5.01, 3.19, 1.65 ], "Baltimore Ravens": [ 1.32, 2.46, 2.77, 1.99, 6.8, 10.24, 10.9, 11.62, 12.13, 11.58, 10.67, 8.12, 5.29, 2.78, 1.04, 0.27 ], "Buffalo Bills": [ 21.86, 15.72, 13.56, 10.25, 10.54, 7.89, 6.5, 5.08, 3.45, 2.28, 1.42, 0.78, 0.43, 0.2, 0.04, 0.01 ], "Carolina Panthers": [ 0.14, 0.92, 7.67, 11.06, 0.22, 0.86, 2.22, 4.44, 6.76, 8.96, 10.38, 11.5, 11.16, 10.66, 8.7, 4.34 ], "Chicago Bears": [ 7.61, 8.13, 1.16, 0.14, 22.62, 17.76, 14.01, 10.01, 6.96, 4.61, 3.02, 1.94, 1.18, 0.62, 0.2, 0.02 ], "Cincinnati Bengals": [ 11.76, 13.66, 10.84, 7.64, 12.76, 12.22, 9.54, 7.41, 5.45, 3.84, 2.51, 1.34, 0.73, 0.2, 0.09, 0.0 ], "Cleveland Browns": [ 2.48, 4.66, 5.45, 4.83, 7.24, 10.68, 12.08, 12.24, 11.76, 9.76, 8.24, 5.7, 3.3, 1.26, 0.29, 0.02 ], "Dallas Cowboys": [ 0.38, 2.37, 12.48, 14.94, 0.48, 1.62, 3.42, 5.74, 8.3, 9.22, 9.71, 8.85, 8.08, 6.75, 5.01, 2.64 ], "Denver Broncos": [ 11.41, 9.42, 9.72, 8.9, 16.17, 10.52, 9.72, 7.68, 5.86, 4.39, 3.0, 1.74, 1.0, 0.37, 0.09, 0.02 ], "Detroit Lions": [ 5.97, 7.1, 1.26, 0.16, 13.53, 14.68, 14.21, 11.77, 9.3, 7.01, 5.16, 4.21, 2.92, 1.78, 0.84, 0.1 ], "Green Bay Packers": [ 1.78, 3.77, 0.76, 0.15, 11.9, 15.71, 17.56, 14.62, 11.45, 7.99, 6.0, 3.98, 2.48, 1.26, 0.48, 0.1 ], "Houston Texans": [ 0.1, 0.8, 2.22, 6.68, 2.27, 5.01, 6.9, 9.69, 12.26, 12.46, 12.42, 10.74, 8.45, 5.58, 3.12, 1.32 ], "Indianapolis Colts": [ 0.01, 0.12, 0.78, 4.23, 0.26, 1.17, 2.25, 4.31, 6.69, 9.75, 12.23, 15.16, 16.1, 12.9, 9.07, 4.96 ], "Jacksonville Jaguars": [ 16.38, 20.64, 21.62, 25.94, 1.02, 1.98, 2.65, 2.56, 2.46, 1.99, 1.38, 0.82, 0.37, 0.14, 0.04, 0.01 ], "Kansas City Chiefs": [ 19.86, 13.1, 12.78, 10.52, 12.04, 8.64, 7.61, 6.22, 3.7, 2.68, 1.68, 0.76, 0.32, 0.1, 0.0, 0.0 ], "Las Vegas Raiders": [ 0.1, 0.47, 1.34, 2.32, 1.96, 3.73, 5.78, 7.94, 10.83, 13.34, 14.1, 13.27, 11.3, 7.51, 4.2, 1.84 ], "Los Angeles Chargers": [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.06, 0.04, 0.18, 0.38, 0.78, 1.44, 2.38, 4.07, 6.5, 10.33, 15.65, 22.67, 35.51 ], "Los Angeles Rams": [ 0.86, 2.64, 1.0, 0.23, 8.21, 11.56, 12.6, 13.3, 11.59, 9.7, 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