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"away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "venue": "Stade de la Mosson", "probabilities": { "home": 0.402, "draw": 0.338, "away": 0.26 } }, { "id": "294", "round": 33, "date": "2027-05-13T22:00:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "venue": "Stade de la Beaujoire", "probabilities": { "home": 0.419, "draw": 0.238, "away": 0.343 } }, { "id": "295", "round": 33, "date": "2027-05-13T22:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "Dijon FCO", "venue": "Nouste Camp", "probabilities": { "home": 0.445, "draw": 0.234, "away": 0.321 } }, { "id": "296", "round": 33, "date": "2027-05-13T22:00:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "venue": "Stade Paul-Lignon", "probabilities": { "home": 0.137, "draw": 0.167, "away": 0.696 } }, { "id": "297", "round": 33, "date": "2027-05-13T22:00:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "venue": "Stade Auguste-Bonal", "probabilities": { "home": 0.425, "draw": 0.287, "away": 0.288 } }, { "id": "298", 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Francis Le Basser", "probabilities": { "home": 0.329, "draw": 0.211, "away": 0.46 } }, { "id": "303", "round": 34, "date": "2027-05-21T22:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "FC Metz", "venue": "Stade Marcel-Picot", "probabilities": { "home": 0.46, "draw": 0.27, "away": 0.27 } }, { "id": "304", "round": 34, "date": "2027-05-21T22:00:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "venue": "Stade Bauer", "probabilities": { "home": 0.481, "draw": 0.272, "away": 0.247 } }, { "id": "305", "round": 34, "date": "2027-05-21T22:00:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "venue": "Stade Auguste-Delaune", "probabilities": { "home": 0.494, "draw": 0.286, "away": 0.219 } }, { "id": "306", "round": 34, "date": "2027-05-21T22:00:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "Pau FC", "venue": "Stade Geoffroy-Guichard", "probabilities": { "home": 0.514, "draw": 0.251, "away": 0.235 } } ], "results": [ { "id": "99", "round": 11, "date": "2026-10-30T19:00:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "USL Dunkerque", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "96", "round": 11, "date": "2026-10-30T19:00:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "95", "round": 11, "date": "2026-10-30T19:00:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "Pau FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "94", "round": 11, "date": "2026-10-30T19:00:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "92", "round": 11, "date": "2026-10-30T19:00:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "86", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-26T19:45:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "82", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-26T19:45:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "89", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-24T18:45:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "FC Nantes", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "84", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-24T12:00:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "90", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-23T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "88", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-23T18:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "87", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-23T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "85", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-23T18:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "FC Metz", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "83", "round": 10, "date": "2026-10-23T18:00:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "81", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-19T18:45:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "79", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-17T18:00:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "78", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-17T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "USL Dunkerque", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "77", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-17T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "80", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 4, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "76", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "75", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "Pau FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "74", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "73", "round": 9, "date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Annecy", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "65", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-12T18:45:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "FC Metz", "homeScore": 4, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "71", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-10T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "69", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-10T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "64", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-10T12:00:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "72", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-09T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "70", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-09T18:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "68", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-09T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "67", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-09T18:00:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "66", "round": 8, "date": "2026-10-09T18:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "60", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-19T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "58", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-19T12:00:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "56", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-19T12:00:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "FC Nantes", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "63", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 4 }, { "id": "62", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "61", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "USL Dunkerque", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "59", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "57", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "55", "round": 7, "date": "2026-09-18T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Annecy", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "52", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "FC Metz", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "48", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-12T18:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "54", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-12T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "FC Nantes", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "49", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-12T12:00:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "53", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-11T18:00:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "51", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-11T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "50", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-11T18:00:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "Pau FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "47", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-11T18:00:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "46", "round": 6, "date": "2026-09-11T18:00:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "42", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-07T18:45:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "45", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-05T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "44", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-05T12:00:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "41", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-05T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "homeScore": 4, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "43", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-04T18:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "40", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-04T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "39", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-04T18:00:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "38", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-04T18:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "37", "round": 5, "date": "2026-09-04T18:00:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "36", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-31T18:45:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "35", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-29T18:00:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "FC Nantes", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "34", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-29T12:00:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 4 }, { "id": "33", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-29T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Annecy", "away": "FC Metz", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "32", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-28T18:00:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "Pau FC", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "31", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-28T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "USL Dunkerque", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "30", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-28T18:00:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "29", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-28T18:00:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "28", "round": 4, "date": "2026-08-28T18:00:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "27", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-24T18:45:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "26", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-22T18:00:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 4, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "25", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-22T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 5 }, { "id": "24", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-22T12:00:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "23", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-21T18:00:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "22", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-21T18:00:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "21", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-21T18:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "20", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-21T18:00:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "19", "round": 3, "date": "2026-08-21T18:00:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "18", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "away": "Clermont Foot 63", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "17", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "USL Dunkerque", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "16", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "15", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "14", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "away": "FC Nantes", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "13", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "US Boulogne CO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "12", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "FC Metz", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "11", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "Pau FC", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "10", "round": 2, "date": "2026-08-14T18:45:00Z", "home": "FC Annecy", "away": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "9", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 3 }, { "id": "8", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "Rodez Aveyron Football", "away": "Stade Lavallois MFC", "homeScore": 3, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "7", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "Pau FC", "away": "FC Annecy", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "6", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "FC Nantes", "away": "Red Star FC", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "5", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "Dijon FCO", "homeScore": 1, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "4", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "FC Metz", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "homeScore": 2, "awayScore": 1 }, { "id": "3", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "Grenoble Foot 38", "homeScore": 4, "awayScore": 2 }, { "id": "2", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "Clermont Foot 63", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 }, { "id": "1", "round": 1, "date": "2026-08-08T18:45:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "homeScore": 0, "awayScore": 0 } ], "analysis": { "method": "Monte Carlo", "simulations": 20000, "model": "Poisson goals model", "modelNotes": [ "Each remaining match is simulated 20,000 times from a Poisson goals model: team attack and defence ratings plus home advantage, fitted on this season with a 240-day half-life.", "FixtureDownload has no Ligue 2 season before 2026-27, so every team, promoted or relegated, started this season from the same average rating, and ratings are held closer to it than usual (backtests without a previous season scored better that way).", "Every simulated season also lets team strength drift (more when more of the season is left), because form, injuries and transfers change teams; without it, early-season odds were overconfident in backtests.", "Teams level on points are ranked by goal difference, then head-to-head points, then head-to-head goal difference (once they have met home and away), then overall goals scored, then wins, then away wins; simulated seasons separate them by goal difference, then goals scored.", "Backtested on 2025-26 in five leagues: match predictions score 0.20-0.21 (ranked probability score) against 0.22-0.23 for home/draw/away base rates; season odds were calibrated on 18 league-seasons since 2022-23.", "There is no earlier Ligue 2 season in the feed to backtest on. With the previous season removed, eight other leagues' 2023-24 to 2025-26 week-ahead predictions scored 0.194-0.222 (ranked probability score) against 0.229-0.235 for home/draw/away base rates, 0.002-0.008 worse than with it. This season's first 63 Ligue 2 matches scored 0.234 against 0.221 for base rates, so treat early match predictions with care.", "Away wins are the last tiebreak step modelled; the league then compares disciplinary points, which the feed does not have, and the table falls back to club names." ], "probabilities": { "AS Nancy Lorraine": { "title": 3.25, "promotion": 13.0, "playoffs": 60.95, "relegation": 0.02, "bottom3": 0.08 }, "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne": { "title": 64.11, "promotion": 84.47, "playoffs": 98.59, "relegation": 0.0, "bottom3": 0.0 }, "Clermont Foot 63": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.0, "playoffs": 0.29, "relegation": 32.8, "bottom3": 48.5 }, "Dijon FCO": { "title": 0.4, "promotion": 2.48, "playoffs": 23.82, "relegation": 1.04, "bottom3": 2.35 }, "EN Avant Guingamp": { "title": 0.06, "promotion": 0.33, "playoffs": 6.3, "relegation": 5.59, "bottom3": 10.53 }, "FC Annecy": { "title": 0.7, "promotion": 3.35, "playoffs": 29.23, "relegation": 0.31, "bottom3": 1.0 }, "FC Metz": { "title": 0.06, "promotion": 0.58, "playoffs": 8.67, "relegation": 2.89, "bottom3": 6.33 }, "FC Nantes": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.01, "playoffs": 0.64, "relegation": 25.32, "bottom3": 39.78 }, "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.06, "playoffs": 1.73, "relegation": 12.8, "bottom3": 22.66 }, "Grenoble Foot 38": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.0, "playoffs": 0.05, "relegation": 53.59, "bottom3": 67.53 }, "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC": { "title": 17.16, "promotion": 48.8, "playoffs": 90.82, "relegation": 0.0, "bottom3": 0.0 }, "Pau FC": { "title": 2.38, "promotion": 10.13, "playoffs": 53.35, "relegation": 0.04, "bottom3": 0.17 }, "Red Star FC": { "title": 0.89, "promotion": 4.42, "playoffs": 34.39, "relegation": 0.33, "bottom3": 0.82 }, "Rodez Aveyron Football": { "title": 0.01, "promotion": 0.2, "playoffs": 4.07, "relegation": 7.98, "bottom3": 15.23 }, "Stade DE Reims": { "title": 10.95, "promotion": 31.96, "playoffs": 80.36, "relegation": 0.02, "bottom3": 0.03 }, "Stade Lavallois MFC": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.01, "playoffs": 0.24, "relegation": 43.86, "bottom3": 58.46 }, "US Boulogne CO": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.01, "playoffs": 1.53, "relegation": 8.0, "bottom3": 16.05 }, "USL Dunkerque": { "title": 0.03, "promotion": 0.21, "playoffs": 4.96, "relegation": 5.41, "bottom3": 10.48 } }, "positions": { "AS Nancy Lorraine": [ 3.25, 9.74, 14.94, 17.28, 15.72, 12.54, 8.86, 6.62, 4.51, 2.88, 1.7, 0.88, 0.53, 0.29, 0.16, 0.06, 0.02, 0.0 ], "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne": [ 64.11, 20.36, 8.38, 3.84, 1.9, 0.82, 0.34, 0.14, 0.06, 0.02, 0.01, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ], "Clermont Foot 63": [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.03, 0.07, 0.19, 0.38, 0.76, 1.46, 1.96, 3.2, 4.61, 6.22, 8.55, 10.99, 13.08, 15.7, 17.17, 15.62 ], "Dijon FCO": [ 0.4, 2.07, 4.48, 7.21, 9.65, 10.9, 12.12, 11.42, 9.9, 8.52, 6.83, 5.3, 3.86, 2.9, 2.08, 1.31, 0.79, 0.25 ], "EN Avant Guingamp": [ 0.06, 0.27, 0.79, 1.84, 3.36, 4.66, 6.85, 8.28, 9.58, 10.38, 10.42, 9.83, 8.7, 7.99, 6.48, 4.93, 3.58, 2.01 ], "FC Annecy": [ 0.7, 2.64, 5.82, 8.69, 11.39, 12.94, 12.86, 11.48, 9.68, 7.48, 5.74, 3.98, 2.5, 1.92, 1.18, 0.7, 0.22, 0.09 ], "FC Metz": [ 0.06, 0.52, 1.3, 2.53, 4.26, 6.44, 8.5, 10.54, 10.88, 11.12, 10.3, 9.18, 7.52, 6.05, 4.48, 3.44, 1.92, 0.97 ], "FC Nantes": [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.03, 0.17, 0.43, 0.73, 1.42, 2.2, 3.25, 4.28, 6.08, 7.81, 9.36, 11.52, 12.94, 14.46, 13.56, 11.76 ], "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard": [ 0.0, 0.06, 0.17, 0.5, 1.01, 1.86, 2.72, 4.23, 5.9, 7.47, 9.18, 10.84, 11.34, 10.98, 11.1, 9.86, 8.03, 4.77 ], "Grenoble Foot 38": [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.01, 0.03, 0.11, 0.3, 0.54, 1.03, 1.78, 2.18, 3.26, 5.53, 7.54, 10.14, 13.94, 20.58, 33.02 ], "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC": [ 17.16, 31.64, 21.33, 13.0, 7.7, 4.12, 2.61, 1.21, 0.68, 0.32, 0.15, 0.06, 0.03, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ], "Pau FC": [ 2.38, 7.75, 12.67, 15.42, 15.13, 13.93, 10.38, 7.94, 5.46, 3.66, 2.26, 1.38, 0.74, 0.46, 0.28, 0.12, 0.03, 0.01 ], "Red Star FC": [ 0.88, 3.54, 7.18, 10.6, 12.2, 13.02, 12.4, 10.64, 8.67, 6.78, 4.94, 3.62, 2.34, 1.42, 0.94, 0.5, 0.26, 0.07 ], "Rodez Aveyron Football": [ 0.02, 0.18, 0.57, 1.08, 2.22, 3.36, 4.88, 6.74, 8.37, 9.59, 9.82, 10.18, 10.3, 9.19, 8.27, 7.26, 5.05, 2.92 ], "Stade DE Reims": [ 10.95, 21.02, 21.56, 15.81, 11.03, 7.64, 4.84, 2.86, 1.78, 1.11, 0.67, 0.36, 0.23, 0.08, 0.04, 0.01, 0.02, 0.0 ], "Stade Lavallois MFC": [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.02, 0.08, 0.14, 0.3, 0.57, 1.0, 1.7, 2.56, 3.68, 4.84, 6.4, 8.97, 11.28, 14.6, 19.83, 24.04 ], "US Boulogne CO": [ 0.0, 0.02, 0.1, 0.4, 1.01, 1.71, 3.37, 4.9, 7.22, 8.91, 10.5, 11.74, 12.28, 11.47, 10.32, 8.04, 5.5, 2.5 ], "USL Dunkerque": [ 0.02, 0.19, 0.63, 1.48, 2.64, 4.57, 6.23, 7.8, 9.35, 9.93, 10.92, 10.53, 9.78, 8.22, 7.24, 5.08, 3.44, 1.97 ] }, "expected": { "AS Nancy Lorraine": { "points": 57.1, "position": 5.2 }, "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne": { "points": 72.8, "position": 1.6 }, "Clermont Foot 63": { "points": 32.5, "position": 14.8 }, "Dijon FCO": { "points": 49.0, "position": 8.1 }, "EN Avant Guingamp": { "points": 42.3, "position": 10.9 }, "FC Annecy": { "points": 50.8, "position": 7.4 }, "FC Metz": { "points": 44.2, "position": 10.1 }, "FC Nantes": { "points": 34.3, "position": 14.2 }, "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard": { "points": 37.9, "position": 12.8 }, "Grenoble Foot 38": { "points": 29.4, "position": 15.9 }, "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC": { "points": 65.1, "position": 3.0 }, "Pau FC": { "points": 55.7, "position": 5.6 }, "Red Star FC": { "points": 51.9, "position": 7.0 }, "Rodez Aveyron Football": { "points": 40.7, "position": 11.7 }, "Stade DE Reims": { "points": 61.6, "position": 3.8 }, "Stade Lavallois MFC": { "points": 31.1, "position": 15.4 }, "US Boulogne CO": { "points": 38.7, "position": 12.3 }, "USL Dunkerque": { "points": 41.8, "position": 11.1 } }, "ratings": { "AS Nancy Lorraine": { "attack": -0.055, "defence": 0.318 }, "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne": { "attack": 0.391, "defence": 0.302 }, "Clermont Foot 63": { "attack": -0.269, "defence": -0.06 }, "Dijon FCO": { "attack": 0.296, "defence": -0.228 }, "EN Avant Guingamp": { "attack": 0.057, "defence": -0.148 }, "FC Annecy": { "attack": 0.023, "defence": 0.073 }, "FC Metz": { "attack": 0.092, "defence": -0.144 }, "FC Nantes": { "attack": -0.13, "defence": -0.169 }, "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard": { "attack": -0.29, "defence": 0.009 }, "Grenoble Foot 38": { "attack": -0.254, "defence": -0.26 }, "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC": { "attack": 0.042, "defence": 0.506 }, "Pau FC": { "attack": 0.066, "defence": 0.169 }, "Red Star FC": { "attack": 0.033, "defence": 0.041 }, "Rodez Aveyron Football": { "attack": 0.115, "defence": -0.318 }, "Stade DE Reims": { "attack": 0.39, "defence": 0.021 }, "Stade Lavallois MFC": { "attack": -0.019, "defence": -0.376 }, "US Boulogne CO": { "attack": -0.467, "defence": 0.362 }, "USL Dunkerque": { "attack": -0.019, "defence": -0.098 } } }, "matchesThatMatter": [ { "fixtureId": "104", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "Grenoble Foot 38", "away": "Stade DE Reims", "tier": "relegation", "tierLabel": "Relegation", "team": "Grenoble Foot 38", "swing": 24.1, "ifHome": 35.1, "ifDraw": 47.0, "ifAway": 59.2 }, { "fixtureId": "97", "date": "2026-11-02T19:45:00Z", "home": "Red Star FC", "away": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "tier": "playoffs", "tierLabel": "Top 5", "team": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "swing": 23.4, "ifHome": 48.2, "ifDraw": 59.9, "ifAway": 71.6 }, { "fixtureId": "102", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "Dijon FCO", "away": "Red Star FC", "tier": "playoffs", "tierLabel": "Top 5", "team": "Red Star FC", "swing": 23.2, "ifHome": 23.6, "ifDraw": 32.1, "ifAway": 46.7 }, { "fixtureId": "91", "date": "2026-10-31T13:00:00Z", "home": "FC Annecy", "away": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "tier": "playoffs", "tierLabel": "Top 5", "team": "FC Annecy", "swing": 21.5, "ifHome": 43.1, "ifDraw": 30.2, "ifAway": 21.5 }, { "fixtureId": "106", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "tier": "playoffs", "tierLabel": "Top 5", "team": "AS Nancy Lorraine", "swing": 20.2, "ifHome": 69.4, "ifDraw": 55.8, "ifAway": 49.1 }, { "fixtureId": "93", "date": "2026-10-31T19:00:00Z", "home": "EN Avant Guingamp", "away": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "tier": "title", "tierLabel": "Title", "team": "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne", "swing": 20.0, "ifHome": 50.3, "ifDraw": 56.4, "ifAway": 70.3 }, { "fixtureId": "105", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "away": "FC Metz", "tier": "promotion", "tierLabel": "Promotion", "team": "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC", "swing": 19.8, "ifHome": 56.1, "ifDraw": 43.4, "ifAway": 36.3 }, { "fixtureId": "98", "date": "2026-11-02T19:45:00Z", "home": "Stade DE Reims", "away": "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard", "tier": "promotion", "tierLabel": "Promotion", "team": "Stade DE Reims", "swing": 18.2, "ifHome": 38.0, "ifDraw": 25.6, "ifAway": 19.8 }, { "fixtureId": "100", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "US Boulogne CO", "away": "FC Annecy", "tier": "playoffs", "tierLabel": "Top 5", "team": "FC Annecy", "swing": 16.9, "ifHome": 21.1, "ifDraw": 26.6, "ifAway": 37.9 }, { "fixtureId": "103", "date": "2026-11-06T19:00:00Z", "home": "USL Dunkerque", "away": "EN Avant Guingamp", "tier": "bottom3", "tierLabel": "Bottom 3", "team": "EN Avant Guingamp", "swing": 10.8, "ifHome": 16.1, "ifDraw": 10.2, "ifAway": 5.2 } ], "movement": { "since": "2026-10-28T13:56:49Z", "changes": { "AS Nancy Lorraine": { "title": 0.23, "promotion": 0.5, "playoffs": 0.75, "relegation": 0.01, "bottom3": 0.01 }, "AS Saint-\u00c9tienne": { "title": -1.83, "promotion": -1.01, "playoffs": -0.1, "relegation": 0.0, "bottom3": 0.0 }, "Clermont Foot 63": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": -0.01, "playoffs": -0.13, "relegation": 2.42, "bottom3": 2.13 }, "Dijon FCO": { "title": 0.16, "promotion": 1.07, "playoffs": 7.71, "relegation": -1.41, "bottom3": -2.91 }, "EN Avant Guingamp": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": -0.12, "playoffs": -0.82, "relegation": 0.34, "bottom3": 0.07 }, "FC Annecy": { "title": -0.02, "promotion": -0.31, "playoffs": -1.15, "relegation": -0.06, "bottom3": -0.03 }, "FC Metz": { "title": -0.21, "promotion": -1.24, "playoffs": -9.99, "relegation": 1.6, "bottom3": 3.31 }, "FC Nantes": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": -0.01, "playoffs": -0.25, "relegation": 2.46, "bottom3": 2.74 }, "FC Sochaux-Montb\u00e9liard": { "title": -0.01, "promotion": 0.01, "playoffs": 0.08, "relegation": 0.5, "bottom3": -0.03 }, "Grenoble Foot 38": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": -0.01, "playoffs": -0.22, "relegation": 14.19, "bottom3": 11.62 }, "Montpellier H\u00e9rault SC": { "title": 0.71, "promotion": -0.72, "playoffs": 0.03, "relegation": 0.0, "bottom3": 0.0 }, "Pau FC": { "title": 1.4, "promotion": 5.62, "playoffs": 18.9, "relegation": -0.21, "bottom3": -0.59 }, "Red Star FC": { "title": -0.01, "promotion": -0.56, "playoffs": -2.22, "relegation": 0.04, "bottom3": 0.02 }, "Rodez Aveyron Football": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.13, "playoffs": 1.51, "relegation": -8.19, "bottom3": -11.89 }, "Stade DE Reims": { "title": -0.29, "promotion": -2.24, "playoffs": -1.5, "relegation": 0.01, "bottom3": 0.0 }, "Stade Lavallois MFC": { "title": 0.0, "promotion": 0.0, "playoffs": 0.18, "relegation": -18.58, "bottom3": -17.06 }, "US Boulogne CO": { "title": -0.02, "promotion": -0.2, "playoffs": -4.04, "relegation": 4.55, "bottom3": 8.36 }, "USL Dunkerque": { "title": -0.13, "promotion": -0.86, "playoffs": -8.75, "relegation": 2.34, "bottom3": 4.26 } } } }